
What have the press said about Albania?
“The country has a balmy southern Mediterranean climate, miles after miles of undeveloped beaches and crystal-clear water, and some of the lowest house prices in Europe: In short, everything to give it the potential to become the next stop for the intrepid property investor” The Sunday Times
“Tirana is really about soaking up the atmosphere of a fast paced city reinventing itself before your eyes. Tour operators are taking an interest. Do they know something we don’t” The Observer
Great Climate conditions:
Albania is located south of Montenegro, North of Greece and West of FYR of Macedonia and has a population of about 3 million inhabitants. It has a Mediterranean climate with over 350 days of sun.
New attractive legislation:
A recent change in Albanian tax law has seen Corporation Tax reduced to a flat 10% which has been matched by Income Tax also being reduced to 10%! This will encourage economic growth and boost foreign investment into the country. In addition, this and other measures will help fight the informal economy and improve further economic indicators.
Macroeconomic indicators:
The Albanian economy is estimated to have grown by 5% in 2006, supported by buoyant domestic demand. This, in turn, was underpinned by a continued rapid expansion of bank credit, a surge in public investment late in the year and strong export growth. Data for industrial sales and machinery imports point to strong domestic demand in the first quarter of 2007, while exports also rose rapidly.
GDP is expected to accelerate in growth in 2008, to 6%, on the back of strong domestic demand and an increase in public investment. However, there are significant downside risks to this forecast, related to the possibility that Albania will continue to suffer from severe power shortages throughout the forecast period.
The Albanian currency, the Lek, will continue to be supported in 2007-08 by large inflows of foreign currency from Albanians living abroad, as well as by relatively high interest rates on local-currency deposits. The Lek will follow the Euro more closely than it does the US dollar, reflecting the fact that Albania conducts most of its trade with Euro zone countries. We forecast that the Euro will strengthen against the US dollar over the forecast period, to an average of US$1.35:1 in 2007 and US$1.38:1 in 2008. We therefore expect the Lek to appreciate in nominal terms against the US currency, especially in the first half of the forecast period.
Higher import costs will be only slightly mitigated by the forecast appreciation of the Lek against the US dollar and a resumption of the increase in the current transfers’ surplus, as remittances from abroad rise modestly. We now forecast a current-account deficit in 2007 equivalent to 8.5% of GDP, up from 7.4% of GDP previously. We forecast a slightly smaller deficit relative to GDP in 2008, although the outturn will depend heavily on developments in the power sector. (Source: 2007 Economist Intelligence Unit)
Property Growth, for the period 1993 through to 2006 stood at 400%. 2006 growth rates stood at 17%. This trend is expected to continue, the country still lacks quality affordable housing, and wages are growing as is the middle class. (Source: INSTAT, 360 Degrees)
How does Tirana compare to other capital cities in Eastern and Central Europe?
Country/
Capital |
Best Areas to Invest |
Location |
Price Per €/ sqm (new build) |
% price increase over past 6 months |
Monthly Rent €/ sqm (new build) |
Gross Yield % |
| Central Europe* |
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Czech Republic (Prague) |
Districts 1,2, 5 & 6 |
Centre |
2500 – 4500 |
7.7% + |
14 – 18 |
4.8 – 6.2% |
|
|
Secondary |
1700 – 2500 |
7.7% + |
6 – 12 |
4.2 – 5.8% |
| Hungary (Budapest) |
Districts 5,6,7,13,14 & 16 |
Centre |
1600 – 3200 |
5.9% - |
7 – 8 |
3.25 – 5.25% |
|
|
Secondary |
1000 – 1600 |
No Change |
5.5 – 6.5 |
5.5 – 6.5% |
| Poland (Warsaw) |
Mokotow/ Ursynow |
Centre |
2500 – 3500 |
20% + |
10 – 12 |
4 – 4.8% |
|
|
Secondary |
1600 – 2100 |
5.7%+ |
8-10 |
5.5 – 6% |
| Balkans* |
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Bulgaria (Sofia) |
Centre – Ivan Vazoz |
Centre |
1250 – 2250 |
29.6%+ |
5-9 |
4.5 – 5% |
|
|
Secondary |
650 -1000 |
21.5%- |
4-7 |
7 – 8% |
| Romania (Bucharest) |
North & Centre |
Centre |
1600 – 2400 |
20%- |
15-20 |
9 – 10% |
|
|
Secondary |
1000 – 1600 |
18%+ |
7-8 |
6 – 8% |
| Croatia (Zagreb) |
Suburbs East and West |
Centre |
2000 – 2800 |
N/A |
10-15 |
6 – 7 % |
|
|
Secondary |
1200 – 2000 |
N/A |
8 – 10 |
6 – 8 % |
| Albania (Tirana)** |
Centre and East and West suburbs |
Centre |
1200 – 2500 |
17%+*** |
6 – 10 |
5 – 6% |
|
|
Secondary |
400 – 1000 |
17%+*** |
3 – 5 |
7.5% |
*Property Investor News, March 2007, **Albanian Partner, *** Year on Year growth 2006
As can be seen above Tirana has the lowest price per square metre in the region due to the country being at the early stages of its economic development.
All the above translates into one simple sentence: Albania now is the place that offers more opportunity and higher capital gains for those that decide to invest in the property market. As infrastructure further improves and its plans to attract tourists come to light, the property market can only strengthen and increase in value.
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