Much discussion has been generated by the latest Knight Frank Global Housing report, which came out on the 17th of June. Of course I was surprised not to see any statistics on Albania, Argentina, Brazil, Turkey or Egypt.
The report showed the Asia Pacific regions as the best performing property region for the first quarter of 2010. And sadly the Baltic States are still suffering with Latvia, Lithuania and Estonia still dropping.
I’m not sure if Knight Frank was boycotting every country I offer, but here is what I believe is happening in Fresh Property Co’s key markets:
Albania: After huge growth in property prices from 2003 to 2008, most prices around the country have stalled. Only brand new/ offplan projects near the centre of the capital city Tirana, have managed to increase by approx 20%. In the rest of Tirana, and in other cities like Durres, Vlora and Saranda, most prices have not moved, or decreased by up to 15%. As the local population increases, demand and price growth will return. And still the cheapest city centre brand new apartment prices in all of Europe (approx EUR1,200/sqm). Great time to invest.

Argentina: After the huge crisis in Argentina in 2001, Argentina truly bounced back, and the growth that returned to the economy was phenomenal. Of course, the strength in the economy couldnt prevent the fall-on effect from the global economic crash of 2008. But in 2010, the resurgence of exports and pick up in tourism are expected to push the housing market back up into positive growth again. Some offplan luxury projects prices have increased by 20% over the crisis period as they completed, and may increase again. Normal Buenos Aires prices will probably rise around 8% this year. Good time to get in.

Brazil: The global economic crisis did have some impact on Brazil, but it was minimal. Brazil is one of the best performing property markets in the world. And will continue to head this way for the foreseeable future. In 3rd Quarter 2009, the average price of new launches surged by 25% to BRL3,465 (US$1946) per sqm from a year earlier. Rising salaries, decreasing unemployment, continuing infrastructure improvements make Brazil’s future brighter and brighter. AND prices are SO LOW. My advice to any property investor – buy in Brazil now!

Egypt: This country did not fair so well in the global crisis. By the end of 2009, house prices in the secondary market had fallen by about 37% to EGP 1.5 million (US$274,725), according to local real estate analysts. However, the lower-end market, including apartments, has a shortage of about 40,000 units per year. With growing tourism, low apartment prices, and even some rental guarantees, Egypt is a good location to consider, especially if you are thinking of using the property yourself. The coast has some great investment locations from Sharm El Sheik, Hurghada and the new hotspot Marsa Alam.

Turkey: Since the huge price increases in Turkey from 2005 to 2007, the property market, especially in the south, has experienced price falls. However Istanbul property market is going from strength to strength, especially coming into 2010. And with the huge increase in tourism, the prices in the south may be picking up again as well. Also rental yields in some locations of Istanbul are fantastic – around double digits. The economy is good, and with prices starting to rise, getting into Turkey now (in the right location), would be a great investment.
So, in Summary:
- Albania – on average – down 10%
- Argentina – on average – up 8%
- Brazil – on average – up 15%
- Egypt – on average – down 10%
- Turkey – on average – up 8%


































